Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 0.001054 1.197117e-03 0.001342 0.001500 0.001665 0.001832 0.002014
2025-05-18 0.000722 9.301701e-04 0.001152 0.001401 0.001673 0.001957 0.002274
2025-05-25 0.000495 7.451493e-04 0.001027 0.001359 0.001731 0.002131 0.002587
2025-06-01 0.000310 5.782867e-04 0.000903 0.001303 0.001767 0.002277 0.002869
2025-06-08 0.000188 4.618636e-04 0.000822 0.001285 0.001839 0.002460 0.003193
2025-06-15 0.000121 4.021948e-04 0.000801 0.001335 0.001986 0.002726 0.003608
2025-06-22 0.000055 3.164038e-04 0.000734 0.001318 0.002050 0.002895 0.003913
2025-06-29 0.000019 2.559815e-04 0.000691 0.001327 0.002140 0.003092 0.004248
2025-07-06 0.000005 2.307010e-04 0.000695 0.001394 0.002301 0.003369 0.004674
2025-07-13 NaN 1.726078e-04 0.000637 0.001372 0.002346 0.003509 0.004940
2025-07-20 NaN 1.171837e-04 0.000569 0.001329 0.002362 0.003609 0.005157
2025-07-27 NaN 9.564484e-05 0.000557 0.001364 0.002475 0.003826 0.005508
2025-08-03 NaN 5.358952e-05 0.000496 0.001334 0.002518 0.003977 0.005808
2025-08-10 NaN 1.408560e-05 0.000404 0.001249 0.002489 0.004041 0.006009
2025-08-17 NaN 5.485924e-07 0.000347 0.001214 0.002524 0.004187 0.006311
2025-08-24 NaN NaN 0.000287 0.001164 0.002537 0.004305 0.006580
2025-08-31 NaN NaN 0.000250 0.001150 0.002598 0.004481 0.006920
2025-09-07 NaN NaN 0.000247 0.001198 0.002747 0.004771 0.007397
2025-09-14 NaN NaN 0.000214 0.001184 0.002805 0.004942 0.007730
2025-09-21 NaN NaN 0.000194 0.001193 0.002894 0.005154 0.008112
2025-09-28 NaN NaN 0.000200 0.001257 0.003066 0.005472 0.008623
2025-10-05 NaN NaN 0.000170 0.001236 0.003110 0.005623 0.008928
2025-10-12 NaN NaN 0.000135 0.001196 0.003121 0.005729 0.009177